Saturday, October 29, 2011

Feeding The World

Jason Clay.

Finding the optimal solution, not the perfect. A combination of all options. Science, genetics, land use.

Bill Evan.

Grew up on family farm in Dakotas. Works Pioneer Seed (Dupont)
Dupont is science based business. 16th year firefighter volunteer. Church board.
1. Science at forefront
2. Collaboration - Dependent on others in community to pull off. Private and Public partnerships
3. Infrastructure in developing world. Roads, bridges - don't deal with food waste problems that other countries do. Goals nation of Brazil 1. Replicate US Land Grant program. 2. Develop world class transportation system.

Chris Lambe - Mosaic Company Concentrated Phosphate and Pot Ash - Potassium. Vitamins for plants. Minneapolis. Young Company 8 bil. Balanced 2005
NPK - Zinc and Boron and Sulfur. Higher nutritional content.
500 university partnerships.
5Rs. Right fertilizer for right fertilizer, right crop, right time, right rate.
Timing may be the most crucial component. Must feed plant when it is hungry or won't eat. If lay down and not "hungry" rain wash away.
Recycle reuse 90% water.
2 million trees.
Mission. Help grow the food the world needs.
If we do good, we can do even better as a business. Virtuous Cycle.
Lots of small farmers around the world.
3-5 times improved yield in small holders yields.
We don not believe the solution is local, organic, conventional
No silver bullet

Dennis Tracey - Smithfield - Leading pork producer and processor - 12 billion. Largest pork processor in the world. 500 Hog farms in US. Small and medium size farmers create balance.
Chief Sustainability Officer - Governmentt affairs, talk with media and a lot of people who don't like us. Been there 10 years.
Focus of sustainability project: Environmental, animal care, employee, food safety.
Sustainable Intensification
Export 28% of what make. People want American food. inexpensive, high quality.
Most people in growing countries want their own food supply. Concentrated forming. Intensive use of fertilizers and genetics.
Nature article. National Science Study.
Do better while what we have and not expand the agriculture footprint.
Farm of the future. Better nutrition. Better disease production. Capturing Methane. Useful for any size farmer.
New definition of Agriculture. Old farmers in the midwest. New - organic farmer to large retailers for large grocery stores. How make and distribute around the globe.

Jennifer Burlinger Moderator.
Where are we now and where do we need to go. How much is sustainable.

Jason Clay. Not sustainable now. We are going to have to shrink footprint, not just maintain. Genetics, only two will double production given current trends: sugar beets and cotton. Neither major food crops.
Every certification program focus on defining best producer and get them a market niche. Recognize what they are already doing. Most certification want to
Must work with the bottom 20% producers, because they have greatest negative impact.
Voluntary certification. Can understand 5 or 6 main criteria and encourage the bottom producers to change.
Xprize - incentive space tour. Use world to solve tech industry.
Two things that would make great million prizers.
1. Container that holds a container of dry goods, transportable, collapsable, $50. Loosing 1/3 in developing countries because of infrastructure.
2. Device to determine if food is safe to eat. Is meat okay to eat. 4-10 kg of soil for every kg of food.
Must think differently about problems.

Bill. Was Sec of Ag in S. Dakota.
Space that is hungry for ideas to tackle on policy side. Always remember that farmers are price takers. When we approach problems from policy realm, easy to go to top down but crazy to believe the producer is gong to be able to pass on the cost of those idea. Incentives have worked well in changing agriculture behavior. How do we incentivize.
Farmers are optimists or wouldn't plant each year.
Looking at Ag policy and how to strike balance in US diff components. Ag inherently impo for daily living. Myriad of subsidies tried over the years with unintended consequences.
Risk management tool: multiple years of bad weather
Conservation:

Jason. Price of food going down as percentage of income. Finite nature of resources would seem like prices should go up. Future indicates will go out. Jeremy Grantham newsletter. Must bring externalities into price. Deforestration related to Ag more damage than all types of transportation.
Soil carbon best indicator of your impact, bar none. Increasing pro ducting.
Don't need government to do this. But we need structure to allow this to happen.
Carbon onsets: at onset of production comes through supply chain.
Not by solving one problems, solutions that touch on five or six rings.

Dennis. Corn.
70% what feed our animals is corn. Other % soy or wheat. Policy related to food. Policy that make raising food more expensive. Need a ramp up period. Need policies that can move food at lower cost. Decision made within our county, ethanol in gasoline. Subsidized. Last 5 years $250 bushel ->$7. Food versus fuel. China's price $10. Who make sure the corn we eat is grown for the people who eat it.

Ethanol policy: Incentivized corn growth. It has different costs. Causes more corn to be planted. Needed rational discussion. Ethanol tax credit. Protective tariff prohibits importation. Due to expire at end of the year. Not anti-ethanol. Price of meat increasing, going to rise and put pressure on prices.

Nature Article: More strategic about productive lands that we have.

Jason. Need to take discussion out of states. 5/6 countries that purchase surplus to feed the rest of the world's needs. Local crops, globally about 14 crops provide 80 of calories - not nutrition, just calories. Focus on regional areas that need more nutrition, then focus on plants that naturally grow there and use genetics to select best of these crops.
How to torture corn to grow corn in other places ins tread of focusing of cassaba and sorghum.

Chris. Key to working with small holders is partnerships.
Folks in the WEst coming to small rural farmer and saying this is what is going to work for you. Has to be things they want. Guatemala project. Area worst possible conditions for Ag. Ag, environ, drug runners, bandits. Each hectare can .8 metric ton, need 1.5 to live. Malnutrition and dying. Kids 6-8 years, walking miles and miles to pick fruit.
Went in and discussed with farmers that wanted. Want to use traditional sacred seeds. Prefer black corn's taste. Seed out of the questions. Knowledge of Ag was limited. Didn't know how to grow in rows, didn't use cover crops. Simple precision agriculture a string to mark rows, bamboo with sharpie to measure depths, bottle cap lid fill with fertilizer to dump in with seed. Don't till the ground to help with weed control. Increased production 5 times. Must buy fertilizer. Distribution system going but couldn't' afford. Created credit program, pay back at harvest. Crop insurance. Still 3 times income.
Africa.
Few places could increase, AG is one of area. How get things there, logistics. No deep water ports. Mules and carry on backs. Cost us twice as much to get to Agriculture. Must learn to build infrastructure and get agronomists on the ground. Need training to know what to do.

Questions:
Water use. Hypoxia. Watershed. Runoff.
Chris. Water food mix impo. Agriculture is a major cause but maybe not as big, 90 vs 50%. We know what to do. Best farming practices. Where we grow. Don't always grow in best locations. 60-70% Nitrogen coming from Illinois. Farm prices too low, so they grow right up to water zone without buffers. Often apply right before rainstorms or in wet field.

Reducing hostility of debate important for discussion

Bill.
Water as a crop. How incentivize farmers to look as water as something they produce on their land.

Question: Darden. How do young entrepreneurs get into AG seems you either go local or go to the dark side?
Jason. Lack of technology. Up to date cell phone application to help figure our weather.
Dennis. Dark side has to speak. Young people FFA. We want to work for you, CEO stopped one of theses student, that's a great thought, but you don't want to work for us, you want to work for a cool company, you don't want to work for Ag.
Question: Corn and soybean. Right crops. Just one or two crops. What risk placing so much on one or two crops.
Must make changes or population migration.  Not just change doing forward, but going backward. Adaptation going on. West of Missouri not good, aquifer drying up, may need to move to sorghum.

Consumer awareness role on sustainable ag ?
Bill. Lack of Agriculture literacy.
Best forums: Farmers becoming more literate in social media space.
US Farmers and Ranchers Alliance - effort of ag to talk to people traditionally had difficulty talking with.

Food production not problem. Price of food is.
Policy question: Reality of what changes could be made?
American's can be trusted to do the right thing after all other options have been tried. Churchill?
The different amounts of people involved in the development of ag policy has been compared to the Bar scene in Star Wars - all these different aliens.
Sometimes make better decision when have less money to spend.
Globally will be driven by Brazil, Russian, India, China.






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